Independents lean towards Democrats in midterm elections: WSJ poll

Independents lean towards Democrats in midterm elections: WSJ poll

Independents lean towards Democrats in midterm elections: WSJ poll

  • Independents are now leaning toward Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections, according to a WSJ poll.
  • In the survey, independents supported Democrats 38%-35%, compared to the GOP’s 12-point lead in March.
  • The poll also showed President Joe Biden’s approval rating at 45%, with 54% expressing his disapproval.

Two months before the November midterm elections, Democrats saw a marked improvement in voters — largely due to renewed support among independents, an increase in President Joe Biden’s favor and increased voter enthusiasm among abortion rights advocates — according to a recent report. published Wall Street Journal poll.

For months, Republicans have tried to hammer Biden on everything from inflation and immigration to last year’s hasty withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan and lingering frustration over past COVID-19 restrictions.

And the president’s approval ratings for most of the past year had stalled in the 1930s and 1940s, a tough position for any commander in chief in their second year in the White House.

But the latest survey showed Democrats were 47%-44% ahead of Republicans among registered voters when asked who they would like back in their congressional district, a marked turnaround from March, when Republicans had a 46%-41 advantage. %.

The shift to Democrats came from stronger numbers with independents, as well as increased support among black and Hispanic voters.

In the new poll, Democrats held a 38%-35% lead among independents, a notable shift from March, when the pivotal voting bloc supported Republicans by 12 percentage points.

Many have attributed the change in Democrats’ fate to the Supreme Court’s rejecting Roe v. Wade, the landmark 1973 decision that legalized abortion in the United States and provided a constitutional right to the process.

GOP pollster Tony Fabrizio — who co-led the investigation with Democrat John Anzalone — said the court’s ruling helped Democrats rally support.

“Republicans were cruising and Democrats were struggling,” Fabrizio told The Journal. “It’s almost as if the abortion issue came up and was a sort of defibrillator for the Democrats.”

In the poll, 60% of respondents thought abortion should be legal in all or most cases, up five percentage points from March.

Democrats are trying to maintain their congressional majorities this fall; while their chances of retaining the Senate have improved dramatically, most observers have acknowledged that it will be harder to hold onto the House.

However, in the latest survey, Biden achieved a 45% rating for his job, with 54% disapproving of his performance. (In March, the president’s job approval was 42%, with 57% expressing his disapproval.)

The surge in support for Biden — if sustained through the election — would almost certainly help Democratic candidates, as most have long been concerned about the president’s approval ratings dragging the party’s fate down.

The poll, conducted by Impact Research and Fabrizio, Lee & Associates, surveyed 1,313 registered voters from Aug. 17 to Aug. 25 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.7 percentage points.

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